I Don't Want to Trade. Can I Still Use Kestrel Expert Advisor?
Forex investment without trading still means somebody presses the buttons, and here that somebody is software running on your own MetaTrader 4 account at your own broker. You keep the account, the broker and the money; we never manage funds. This page gives the capital we recommend, the worst moment it went through and the five steps to start.
See the licence levels and prices
What Kestrel is (and is not)
Kestrel EA is a grid expert advisor for MetaTrader 4: it opens from its own signal, adds to the basket in small, capped steps when price moves against it, and closes the whole basket together at its target. It never closes a single trade at a loss; until the basket closes, the loss is floating.
Like the kestrel that hangs still in the wind before it strikes, it waits, holds and closes the basket once.
It is a licence for a program, not a place to deposit money.
- The account is opened in your name at a broker you choose; you fund it and withdraw from it without asking us.
- You can switch the expert advisor off at any moment.
- We never receive, hold or manage client funds.
Recommended capital by level
You choose one to four pairs — EURUSD, GBPUSD, EURCAD and AUDCAD — then Patient, Active or both for each. Patient adds to a basket less often and holds a smaller worst case, while Active adds more often, returned more in the backtest and reached a larger worst case. Both follow the same rules and close the basket the same way.
Each record has a worst case, and the capital we recommend for a single record is three times that number; for a portfolio it is the recommendations of its records added up. Horizon figures, euros at fixed rates, simulated on Dukascopy data (EURUSD and AUDCAD run to September 2026, GBPUSD to December 2025, EURCAD from January 2014):
| Portfolio | Capital we recommend | Worst floating loss | Deepest drawdown | Yearly, on that capital |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| EURUSD Patient | €8,500 | −€2,788, 21 Aug 2024 | €2,788 | 18.5% |
| K3 (AUDCAD Patient + EURUSD Patient) | €22,500 | −€3,704, 22 Oct 2012 | €3,647 | 16.0% |
| K1 (AUDCAD Active + EURUSD Patient) | €28,800 | −€4,701, 14 Feb 2011 | €4,650 | 23.5% |
| Full portfolio (EURUSD Patient + AUDCAD Patient + AUDCAD Active) | €42,800 | −€6,165, 4 Mar 2016 | €6,114 | 20.6% |
Over the period of each record, the simulated profit works out at between 10.6% and 26% a year on the capital we recommend for it. That is a simulation on historical data, not an expectation, and the worst day of every line is in the same table.
Summit multiplies the starting lot by five and Zenith by ten, and our recommendation moves by the same factor. It is a recommendation, not a requirement: you decide what goes into your own account.
The worst moment itself: on 22 October 2012 the K3 account floated €3,704 against itself at fixed rates. No basket closed at a loss, because there is no stop loss; the size of the account is what decides whether the strategy survives. The full table is on Kestrel EA Risk Management and Capital for MT4 Portfolios, and every mix of pairs with the capital it recommends is on Kestrel Pair Combinations: What Fits Your Capital.
The five steps
Before step one, the choice that decides everything else for this buyer: which combination fits the capital you plan to run — Kestrel Pair Combinations: What Fits Your Capital.
- Choose your pairs and variant.
- Choose the level whose recommended capital fits your account.
- Buy the annual licence: Horizon €999, Summit €4,999 or Zenith €9,999, VAT included. It covers the expert advisor, the set files of the four pairs at your level, updates, the client Telegram group and email support.
- Install on your MetaTrader 4 on a VPS and load the set files of your pairs.
- Follow the record: every figure on this site carries its date, feed and period.
What we never do
We are not a fund, a managed account or a portfolio manager, and we do not offer investment advice. Every figure here is simulation over historical data plus a forward test on demo accounts running since September 2026, and a future episode worse than every episode in the sample is possible.
That is also the offer: nothing on this page asks you to trust anyone else with your money. The walkthrough is How to Invest in Forex With a Robot on Your Own Account, and the signal that would copy into your account is on Kestrel Live Signal: How Copy Trading the Expert Advisor Would Work.
If you manage money for other people rather than trading your own account, the licence works differently: Kestrel Expert Advisor for Money Managers: MAM and PAMM.
Frequently asked questions
Do I send money to Daemon Digital LLC?
No. You open an account at a broker of your choice, you fund it yourself and you install the expert advisor on your own MetaTrader 4 terminal. Kestrel is software and we never receive, hold or manage funds.
How much capital do you recommend for the smallest portfolio?
We recommend €8,500 at Horizon level for EURUSD Patient, three times the €2,788 worst case it reached in the 2010 to September 2026 simulation. For K3 we recommend €22,500 and for K1 €28,800 at the same level — the recommendations of their records added up.
What do I actually have to do every day?
Keep the terminal online, which in practice means a VPS, and leave the baskets alone while they are open. A basket can float thousands of euros against the account for weeks before it closes — the longest in the record ran 46 days — and closing it by hand is how the loss becomes real.
See the licence levels and prices
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