Kestrel Grid EA for MT4: Expert Advisor With Controlled Lots
Kestrel Grid EA is a grid expert advisor for MetaTrader 4: it opens from its own signal, adds to the basket in small, capped steps when price moves against it, and closes the whole basket together at its target. It never closes a single trade at a loss; until the basket closes, the loss is floating. The EURUSD Patient record (2010 to September 2026, Dukascopy data, simulated) shows what that cost at its worst: −€2,788 floating on 21 August 2024.
See pricing and licence levels
What makes this grid controlled
An uncapped grid is a countdown: each addition costs far more than the last, doubling or worse, until the account cannot carry the float. Kestrel’s additions do grow as a basket adds — the lot size increases step by step — but the increase per step is small and capped rather than doubling, the basket closes together at one target, and the worst case is not a hope but a measurement with a date.
Like the kestrel that hangs still in the wind before it strikes, it waits, holds and closes once.
The record that backs it
All simulated on Dukascopy data, Horizon level, euros at fixed rates; returns and yearly figures are on the capital we recommend for each record:
| Record | Period | Return | Yearly, on that capital | Worst floating loss | Capital we recommend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EURUSD Patient | 2010 – Sep 2026 | +309% | 18.5% | −€2,788, 21 Aug 2024 | €8,500 |
| EURUSD Active | 2010 – Sep 2026 | +297% | 17.8% | −€4,946, 18 May 2017 | €14,900 |
| GBPUSD Patient | 2010–2025 | +257% | 16.0% | −€3,885, 14 Nov 2024 | €11,700 |
| GBPUSD Active | 2010–2025 | +251% | 15.7% | −€7,122, 31 Jul 2020 | €21,400 |
| EURCAD Patient | 2014–2025 | +144% | 12.0% | −€3,408, 13 Mar 2017 | €10,300 |
| EURCAD Active | 2014–2025 | +128% | 10.6% | −€5,887, 13 Mar 2017 | €17,700 |
| AUDCAD Patient | 2010 – Sep 2026 | +243% | 14.6% | −€3,703, 22 Oct 2012 | €14,000 |
| AUDCAD Active | 2010 – Sep 2026 | +429% | 25.7% | −€4,699, 13 Feb 2011 | €20,300 |
| K3 | 2010 – Sep 2026 | +268% | 16.0% | −€3,704, 22 Oct 2012 | €22,500 |
| K1 | 2010 – Sep 2026 | +393% | 23.5% | −€4,701, 14 Feb 2011 | €28,800 |
| Full portfolio | 2010 – Sep 2026 | +344% | 20.6% | −€6,165, 4 Mar 2016 | €42,800 |
For a single record the recommendation is three times its worst case; for a portfolio, the recommendations of its records added up. Every mix, with the two stop-out floors and the joint reading beside the recommendation: Kestrel Pair Combinations: What Fits Your Capital. A worse episode than any in the record remains possible. Beyond the backtest, the software has run on two demo accounts since September 2026 — a forward test on demo, not a real account. Method and per-year detail: Kestrel Expert Advisor Performance and Results.
What you choose with Kestrel
- Pairs: EURUSD, GBPUSD, EURCAD and AUDCAD — choose your pairs, one to four in the same account, then Patient, Active or both for each.
- Variant: Patient adds to a basket less often and holds a smaller worst case; Active adds more often, returned more in the backtest and reached a larger worst case. Same rules, same basket close.
- Published portfolios: K3 (AUDCAD Patient + EURUSD Patient), K1 (AUDCAD Active + EURUSD Patient), Full portfolio (all three).
Choose your level by capital
Horizon (0.01 starting lot) €999 a year, Summit (×5) €4,999, Zenith (×10) €9,999, VAT included. The rules are identical; the level scales the size. At Horizon, recommended capital runs from €8,500 for the smallest published record (EURUSD Patient) alone, to €50,800 for all four pairs with one variant each, to €118,800 for all eight records — the four pairs in both Patient and Active. Five times that at Summit and ten at Zenith — always a recommendation, never a condition, and not investment advice.
The calculation behind each figure: Kestrel EA Risk Management and Capital for MT4 Portfolios. Or skip the cross-referencing: build your own set of pairs and variants in the Kestrel Portfolio Calculator and see the recommended capital directly.
From purchase to a running grid
- Choose your pairs, then Patient, Active or both for each.
- Choose the level whose recommended capital matches your account.
- Buy the annual licence on Kestrel Forex Robot Price and Licence Levels.
- Install on MetaTrader 4, on a VPS, and load the set file of your level.
- Follow the record: every figure carries its date, feed and period.
For the mechanics of grid trading in general, brand aside: Grid Trading Strategy: Rules, Risks and Lot Sizing. The catalogue: Kestrel Expert Advisors for MT4.
Product summary
- Product
- Kestrel EA v2.2, grid expert advisor
- Platform
- MetaTrader 4, hedging account, any broker
- Pairs offered
- EURUSD, GBPUSD, EURCAD, AUDCAD — choose 1 to 4; for each, Patient, Active or both
- Published backtests
- All four pairs in both variants, plus the K3, K1 and Full portfolios; every record states its own period
- Variants and portfolios
- Patient and Active; portfolios K3, K1 and Full portfolio
- Licence levels
- Horizon (0.01 starting lot), Summit (×5), Zenith (×10)
- Recommended capital
- From €8,500 (EURUSD Patient, Horizon) to €118,800 for all eight records, sized conservatively; full table per combination and level
- Stop loss
- None: baskets close together at a shared target; open loss is floating
Frequently asked questions
Does this grid EA use a stop loss?
No basket closes at a loss, because there is no stop loss: until a basket closes, its loss is floating. In the EURUSD Patient record (2010 to September 2026, simulated) the worst floating loss was −€2,788 on 21 August 2024.
Does it run on MetaTrader 5?
No. Kestrel is built for MetaTrader 4 and is only verified there. It is installed on your own terminal and normally left running on a VPS.
How many baskets has it closed?
In the EURUSD Patient backtest of 2010 to 2025, simulated on Dukascopy data, 22,058 baskets closed. None closed at a loss, which is the absence of a stop loss, not a promise: the risk sits in the float of the baskets still open.
See pricing and licence levels
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