Is Kestrel a Profitable Expert Advisor? The Full Record

What the record says

Kestrel EA is a grid expert advisor for MetaTrader 4: it opens from its own signal, adds to the basket in small, capped steps when price moves against it, and closes the whole basket together at its target. It never closes a single trade at a loss; until the basket closes, the loss is floating. You choose one to four pairs — EURUSD, GBPUSD, EURCAD and AUDCAD — and for each pair Patient, Active or both: Patient adds to a basket less often and holds a smaller worst case; Active adds more often, returned more in the backtest and reached a larger worst case.

Simulated results at Horizon level, euros at fixed rates, returns measured on the capital we recommend for each record:

Record	Period	Simulated profit	Return	Worst floating loss
EURUSD Patient	2010 – Sep 2026	€26,228	+309% of €8,500	−€2,788, 21 Aug 2024
EURCAD Patient	2014–2025	€14,826	+144% of €10,300	−€3,408, 13 Mar 2017
GBPUSD Patient	2010–2025	€30,025	+257% of €11,700	−€3,885, 14 Nov 2024
AUDCAD Patient	2010 – Sep 2026	€34,066	+243% of €14,000	−€3,703, 22 Oct 2012
EURUSD Active	2010 – Sep 2026	€44,232	+297% of €14,900	−€4,946, 18 May 2017
EURCAD Active	2014–2025	€22,615	+128% of €17,700	−€5,887, 13 Mar 2017
AUDCAD Active	2010 – Sep 2026	€87,089	+429% of €20,300	−€4,699, 13 Feb 2011
GBPUSD Active	2010–2025	€53,725	+251% of €21,400	−€7,122, 31 Jul 2020
K3	2010 – Sep 2026	€60,294	+268% of €22,500	−€3,704, 22 Oct 2012
K1	2010 – Sep 2026	€113,317	+393% of €28,800	−€4,701, 14 Feb 2011
Full portfolio	2010 – Sep 2026	€147,383	+344% of €42,800	−€6,165, 4 Mar 2016

EURUSD Patient closed 17 positive years out of 17 and 187 of 201 months positive (2010 to September 2026, simulated). The starting lot is fixed and never compounds with the account, so these are euros the strategy produced, not a projection of what yours would.

What runs today on demo

Two demo accounts on a VPS have run Kestrel v2.2 since September 2026: one on K3 at Horizon level, one on K1 at Summit level. That is a forward test on demo, not a real account, and we do not publish their balances.

A demo proves that the expert advisor decides, sends and closes the way the simulation said it would. It proves nothing about slippage, swap, commission or how a broker fills an order when the market moves fast.

What a verified account will add

[DATO NEGOCIO: hueco del widget de Myfxbook y de la señal MQL5 — cuenta verificada, fecha de inicio y enlace público]

When that account exists, this page will carry its growth, its equity drawdown, its start date and its broker, read from the account rather than written by us. Until then, everything here is either a simulation or a demo, and it is labelled as one.

What we will not say

We will not call the demo accounts real, quote a monthly percentage as an expectation, or put a figure on this page without its date and its feed. Nor will we hide that our simulation engine charges no swap, commission or slippage: its profit runs about 10% to 17% above an independent order-by-order record of the same strategy, so the conservative reading takes about 15% off every profit figure and leaves every risk figure where it is. Like the kestrel that hangs still in the wind, we would rather hold position than strike early: the record is published when it exists.

From here it is five steps: choose pairs and variant, choose the level whose recommended capital fits your account, buy the annual licence (€999, €4,999 or €9,999, VAT included), install it on MT4 with its set file, and follow the record. The method behind the simulation, including what it leaves out, is on Kestrel Expert Advisor Backtest 2010-2025: Full Report, the worst moments, date by date, on Is Kestrel a Safe Expert Advisor? Drawdown and Worst Float, and which combination of pairs fits your capital on Kestrel Pair Combinations: What Fits Your Capital.